Baseball Projection.com

Michel Abreu

Age: 30 Team: NYN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
114	410	51	106	22	1	12	57	1	0	35	76	3	0.259	0.321	0.405	-10	1B	2.4

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-2	0	17	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0.176	0.222	0.235
20th	-8	0	117	26	5	0	2	8	24	0	0.222	0.272	0.316
30th	-10	0	216	51	9	0	5	16	43	1	0.236	0.292	0.347
40th	-11	0	313	77	15	0	8	25	60	2	0.246	0.306	0.371
50th	-7	7	410	106	22	1	12	35	76	3	0.259	0.321	0.405
60th	-2	14	443	119	26	1	14	41	80	4	0.269	0.336	0.427
70th	5	22	479	134	30	2	17	46	83	4	0.280	0.348	0.457
80th	14	32	511	149	35	2	20	52	85	6	0.292	0.364	0.485
90th	23	42	544	165	40	3	23	58	87	7	0.303	0.378	0.515

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	30	411	107	22	1	12	1	34	77	3	0.260	0.321	0.406
2010	31	390	101	21	1	11	1	33	73	3	0.259	0.322	0.403
2011	32	371	94	19	1	10	1	32	70	2	0.253	0.316	0.391
2012	33	353	89	18	1	10	1	30	68	2	0.252	0.314	0.394
2013	34	335	82	16	0	9	0	29	66	2	0.245	0.309	0.373
2014	35	319	76	15	0	8	0	27	63	2	0.238	0.302	0.361

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	-1	--	--	--	--	--	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	1.5	6.6
Good (+7 runs)	1.1	4.8
Average (0 runs)	0.8	3.5
Poor (-7 runs)	0.5	2.2
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.3	1.3

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	18

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.