Baseball Projection.com

Matthew Arburr

Age: 23 Team: SLN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
47	182	25	34	6	1	5	22	3	1	17	80	1	0.187	0.260	0.313	-48	1B	5.3

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-11	0	68	9	1	0	1	5	33	0	0.132	0.192	0.191
20th	-12	0	98	15	2	0	2	7	46	0	0.153	0.210	0.235
30th	-15	0	126	21	3	0	3	10	58	0	0.167	0.228	0.262
40th	-15	0	154	27	5	0	4	13	70	1	0.175	0.244	0.286
50th	-15	0	182	34	6	1	5	17	80	1	0.187	0.260	0.313
60th	-19	0	285	57	11	1	10	28	123	2	0.200	0.276	0.351
70th	-20	0	386	81	17	2	14	40	163	4	0.210	0.291	0.373
80th	-15	2	485	108	23	4	20	54	200	6	0.223	0.308	0.410
90th	-9	12	584	138	31	5	27	68	235	8	0.236	0.324	0.445

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	23	183	33	6	1	5	3	1	16	84	1	0.180	0.250	0.306
2010	24	182	35	7	1	6	3	1	17	80	1	0.192	0.265	0.341
2011	25	181	35	7	1	6	3	1	18	78	1	0.193	0.270	0.343
2012	26	181	36	7	1	6	3	1	18	76	1	0.199	0.275	0.348
2013	27	180	36	7	1	6	3	1	19	75	1	0.200	0.280	0.350
2014	28	180	35	7	0	6	3	1	19	75	1	0.194	0.275	0.333

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	--	--	--	--	--	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	0.3	1.3
Good (+7 runs)	0.1	0.4
Average (0 runs)	0	0.4
Poor (-7 runs)	0	0.4
Putrid (-15 runs)	0	0.4

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	1

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.