Baseball Projection.com

Joaquin Arias

Age: 24 Team: TEX

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
124	494	63	140	24	8	5	51	21	8	22	67	3	0.283	0.318	0.395	-14	SS	6.5

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-1	0	20	5	1	0	0	1	3	0	0.250	0.286	0.300
20th	-8	0	140	36	6	2	1	5	21	0	0.257	0.283	0.350
30th	-11	0	259	69	11	3	2	10	37	1	0.266	0.296	0.355
40th	-13	0	376	103	17	6	3	16	52	2	0.274	0.307	0.375
50th	-11	6	494	140	24	8	5	22	67	3	0.283	0.318	0.395
60th	-7	11	522	152	27	10	6	25	68	4	0.291	0.328	0.416
70th	-1	18	551	164	30	11	7	27	70	5	0.298	0.336	0.430
80th	4	24	579	178	33	13	8	30	70	5	0.307	0.347	0.451
90th	12	33	606	191	36	15	10	34	71	6	0.315	0.358	0.474

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	24	493	140	24	8	5	21	8	23	66	3	0.284	0.320	0.396
2010	25	492	140	25	8	5	20	8	24	64	3	0.285	0.322	0.398
2011	26	491	140	25	7	5	20	7	25	62	3	0.285	0.324	0.395
2012	27	491	139	26	7	5	19	7	25	62	3	0.283	0.322	0.395
2013	28	490	137	25	6	5	18	7	26	62	3	0.280	0.320	0.386
2014	29	490	135	25	6	5	17	6	26	62	3	0.276	0.316	0.382

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	2	1	-2	--	--	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	2.5	11
Good (+7 runs)	2	8.8
Average (0 runs)	1.5	6.6
Poor (-7 runs)	1.1	4.8
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.7	3.1

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	3	19
12 team AL or NL only	1	9	26

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.