Baseball Projection.com

Yorman Bazardo

Age: 24 Team: DET
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
6 8 127 148 18 50 62 6 81 75 5.31 24 24

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 96 128 45 43 19 7 6.84
20th 105 132 46 48 18 6 6.09
30th 112 137 47 53 18 6 5.79
40th 120 143 49 57 18 6 5.55
50th 127 148 50 62 18 6 5.31
60th 131 148 49 65 17 6 4.95
70th 134 147 49 67 16 5 4.63
80th 138 146 48 70 15 5 4.37
90th 142 144 46 74 13 4 3.99

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
6 0.6 3.0

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 126 150 51 68 19 6 5.50 1.0 0.1 0.4
2010 25 114 135 45 61 17 6 5.44 1.0 0.1 0.5
2011 26 103 122 40 55 15 5 5.39 1.0 0.2 1.0
2012 27 92 110 35 49 14 5 5.48 1.0 0.1 0.6
2013 28 83 100 31 43 13 4 5.52 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 29 75 90 27 39 11 4 5.41 1.0 0.1 0.7

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.