Baseball Projection.com

Gabriel Benitez

Age: 26 Team: DET
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 2 30 35 6 25 17 2 25 23 6.9 30 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 21 32 24 10 7 3 11.57
20th 23 33 24 12 7 2 10.17
30th 26 33 24 14 6 2 8.31
40th 28 34 25 15 6 2 7.71
50th 30 35 25 17 6 2 6.90
60th 31 35 24 18 6 2 6.68
70th 32 34 24 19 5 2 5.91
80th 34 33 23 21 4 1 5.03
90th 36 31 22 23 3 1 4.00

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
0 0.0 0.4

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 26 30 35 25 19 6 2 7.06 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 27 27 32 22 17 6 2 7.29 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 28 24 29 20 15 5 2 7.41 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 29 22 27 17 13 5 1 7.34 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 30 20 24 16 12 4 1 7.10 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 31 17 22 15 10 4 1 8.16 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.