Baseball Projection.com

Kyle Bloom

Age: 26 Team: DET
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
5 7 109 119 21 67 66 5 78 72 5.94 24 24

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 81 105 61 45 22 6 8.11
20th 88 108 62 50 22 6 7.36
30th 95 111 63 56 21 5 6.63
40th 102 115 65 61 21 5 6.26
50th 109 119 67 66 21 5 5.94
60th 112 118 66 69 20 5 5.54
70th 115 118 65 72 19 4 5.24
80th 119 115 64 76 17 4 4.69
90th 124 112 62 81 15 3 4.06

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
3 0.3 1.7

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 26 108 120 68 72 22 5 6.14 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 27 97 109 60 64 20 4 6.18 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 28 88 98 53 58 18 4 6.08 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 29 79 89 47 51 16 3 6.09 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 30 71 81 43 45 15 3 6.27 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 31 64 72 39 40 13 3 6.16 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.