Baseball Projection.com

Jeremy Bonderman

Age: 26 Team: DET
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
8 6 124 122 13 42 95 4 59 55 3.99 20 20

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 95 106 38 68 14 5 5.12
20th 102 110 39 75 14 4 4.76
30th 110 114 40 82 13 4 4.42
40th 117 118 41 88 13 4 4.15
50th 124 122 42 95 13 4 3.99
60th 127 122 41 98 12 4 3.76
70th 130 122 41 102 12 3 3.60
80th 134 119 40 106 10 3 3.16
90th 138 118 38 111 9 2 2.87

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
23 2.2 10.1

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 26 124 123 43 104 14 4 4.05 1.0 2.1 9.2
2010 27 112 111 38 93 12 3 3.97 1.0 2.0 9.7
2011 28 101 100 33 83 11 3 3.96 1.0 1.8 9.6
2012 29 90 91 29 74 10 3 4.06 1.0 1.5 8.9
2013 30 81 82 27 65 9 3 4.11 1.0 1.3 8.6
2014 31 73 74 25 58 8 2 4.10 1.0 1.2 8.8

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.