Baseball Projection.com

Eddie Bonine

Age: 28 Team: DET
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
7 6 122 134 18 31 55 6 68 63 4.65 23 23

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 92 117 29 38 19 7 6.07
20th 100 121 29 42 19 6 5.58
30th 107 125 30 47 18 6 5.13
40th 114 130 30 51 18 6 4.89
50th 122 134 31 55 18 6 4.65
60th 125 134 30 57 17 6 4.39
70th 128 133 30 60 16 5 4.08
80th 132 131 29 63 15 5 3.82
90th 136 129 27 67 13 4 3.38

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
12 1.1 5.2

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 28 121 136 32 60 19 6 4.82 1.0 1.0 4.2
2010 29 109 123 28 54 17 5 4.80 1.0 1.0 4.6
2011 30 97 111 26 47 15 5 4.91 1.0 0.7 3.5
2012 31 88 101 23 42 14 4 4.92 1.0 0.7 3.9
2013 32 79 91 21 37 13 4 5.01 1.0 0.5 3.1
2014 33 71 81 20 33 11 3 4.91 1.0 0.5 3.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.