Baseball Projection.com

Jason Bourgeois

Age: 27 Team: MIL

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
123	464	62	123	25	4	6	38	19	7	36	72	3	0.265	0.322	0.375	-16	OF	6.6

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-24	0	339	80	14	2	3	22	59	1	0.236	0.285	0.316
20th	-22	0	371	91	17	2	4	25	63	1	0.245	0.295	0.334
30th	-19	0	402	101	20	3	4	29	66	1	0.251	0.303	0.346
40th	-17	0	434	112	22	3	5	32	69	2	0.258	0.312	0.357
50th	-13	3	464	123	25	4	6	36	72	3	0.265	0.322	0.375
60th	-10	7	493	135	28	5	8	40	75	3	0.274	0.332	0.400
70th	-5	13	521	146	31	6	9	44	77	4	0.280	0.341	0.415
80th	2	21	548	158	35	7	10	49	78	5	0.288	0.352	0.432
90th	7	27	577	171	38	8	12	53	80	5	0.296	0.361	0.452

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	27	467	125	25	4	6	19	7	33	71	3	0.268	0.320	0.377
2010	28	466	123	25	4	6	18	7	34	71	3	0.264	0.318	0.373
2011	29	465	121	25	3	6	17	7	35	71	3	0.260	0.316	0.366
2012	30	442	115	23	3	6	15	6	34	68	2	0.260	0.316	0.367
2013	31	419	108	22	3	5	13	5	33	64	2	0.258	0.315	0.360
2014	32	398	101	20	2	5	11	5	31	62	2	0.254	0.311	0.352

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	-4	-7	-10	7	0	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	1.3	5.7
Good (+7 runs)	0.8	3.5
Average (0 runs)	0.5	2.2
Poor (-7 runs)	0.3	1.3
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.1	0.4

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	2	18

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.