Daniel Christensen
Age: 25
Team: DET
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 5 |
7 |
101 |
117 |
19 |
49 |
50 |
6 |
71 |
66 |
5.88 |
18 |
18 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
75 |
103 |
45 |
33 |
20 |
7 |
8.04 |
| 20th |
81 |
106 |
46 |
38 |
20 |
7 |
7.44 |
| 30th |
88 |
109 |
47 |
42 |
19 |
6 |
6.65 |
| 40th |
94 |
113 |
48 |
46 |
19 |
6 |
6.32 |
| 50th |
101 |
117 |
49 |
50 |
19 |
6 |
5.88 |
| 60th |
104 |
116 |
48 |
52 |
18 |
6 |
5.54 |
| 70th |
107 |
116 |
47 |
55 |
17 |
5 |
5.13 |
| 80th |
111 |
113 |
46 |
58 |
15 |
4 |
4.54 |
| 90th |
115 |
110 |
44 |
62 |
13 |
4 |
4.07 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 3 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
25 |
100 |
118 |
50 |
55 |
20 |
6 |
6.12 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
26 |
90 |
107 |
44 |
49 |
18 |
5 |
6.12 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
27 |
81 |
97 |
39 |
44 |
16 |
5 |
6.14 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
28 |
73 |
88 |
34 |
39 |
15 |
4 |
6.17 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
29 |
66 |
79 |
30 |
35 |
13 |
4 |
6.05 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
30 |
59 |
71 |
28 |
31 |
12 |
3 |
6.16 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.