Baseball Projection.com

Edward Clelland

Age: 27 Team: DET
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 2 27 31 6 14 13 1 20 19 6.33 25 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 19 28 14 8 7 2 9.47
20th 21 29 14 9 7 1 8.57
30th 23 30 14 10 6 1 7.43
40th 25 30 14 12 6 1 6.84
50th 27 31 14 13 6 1 6.33
60th 28 30 14 14 5 1 5.46
70th 29 30 13 15 5 1 4.97
80th 31 29 12 16 4 0 4.06
90th 32 27 12 17 3 0 3.38

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
0 0.0 0.4

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 27 27 31 14 14 6 1 6.09 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 28 24 28 13 13 6 1 6.45 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 29 22 26 11 11 5 1 6.27 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 30 20 23 10 10 5 1 6.27 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 31 17 21 9 9 4 1 6.72 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 32 15 19 9 8 4 1 7.34 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.