Baseball Projection.com

Arnoldi Cruz

Age: 22 Team: SLN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
89	357	37	87	17	2	7	51	3	1	17	66	2	0.244	0.282	0.361	-31	C	3.2

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-2	0	15	3	0	0	0	0	3	0	0.200	0.200	0.200
20th	-10	0	101	21	3	0	1	4	21	0	0.208	0.238	0.267
30th	-15	0	188	41	7	1	3	8	38	0	0.218	0.250	0.314
40th	-18	0	273	63	12	1	4	12	53	1	0.231	0.266	0.326
50th	-19	0	357	87	17	2	7	17	66	2	0.244	0.282	0.361
60th	-16	0	422	107	22	3	9	22	75	2	0.254	0.294	0.384
70th	-11	5	484	129	27	4	12	28	83	3	0.267	0.311	0.413
80th	-4	15	546	151	33	6	15	34	90	5	0.277	0.325	0.441
90th	6	27	609	176	40	8	18	40	95	6	0.289	0.339	0.470

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	22	357	86	17	2	7	3	1	17	69	2	0.241	0.279	0.359
2010	23	356	87	18	2	7	3	1	18	68	2	0.244	0.285	0.365
2011	24	355	89	19	2	7	3	1	19	65	2	0.251	0.293	0.375
2012	25	354	88	19	2	7	3	1	20	64	2	0.249	0.293	0.373
2013	26	353	89	19	2	7	3	1	21	62	2	0.252	0.298	0.377
2014	27	353	89	19	2	8	3	1	21	61	2	0.252	0.298	0.385

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	-1	--	-8	--	--	--	-19

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	1.6	7
Good (+7 runs)	1.2	5.3
Average (0 runs)	0.9	4
Poor (-7 runs)	0.6	2.6
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.3	1.3

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	9
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	23

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.