Baseball Projection.com

Nelson Cruz

Age: 28 Team: TEX

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
139	491	78	133	25	2	27	87	12	6	53	136	4	0.271	0.347	0.495	14	OF	5.1

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-9	5	399	96	16	1	17	37	118	2	0.241	0.308	0.414
20th	-4	11	423	104	18	1	19	41	123	2	0.246	0.315	0.428
30th	1	17	446	114	21	1	22	44	128	3	0.256	0.327	0.455
40th	5	22	469	123	23	2	24	49	132	3	0.262	0.336	0.473
50th	12	30	491	133	25	2	27	53	136	4	0.271	0.347	0.495
60th	18	36	503	141	28	3	29	56	136	5	0.280	0.358	0.521
70th	24	43	516	148	30	3	31	59	137	5	0.287	0.366	0.537
80th	32	51	527	155	32	4	33	63	138	6	0.294	0.376	0.558
90th	38	58	539	164	35	4	36	66	138	7	0.304	0.387	0.584

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	28	489	133	25	2	27	13	6	55	134	4	0.272	0.350	0.497
2010	29	488	130	24	2	26	12	5	56	135	4	0.266	0.347	0.484
2011	30	462	124	23	2	25	11	5	55	127	4	0.268	0.351	0.489
2012	31	438	116	22	2	23	9	4	53	121	4	0.265	0.349	0.482
2013	32	416	109	20	1	22	8	4	51	116	3	0.262	0.347	0.474
2014	33	395	102	19	1	20	7	3	49	111	3	0.258	0.345	0.463

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	--	--	--	6	-1	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	3.7	16.3
Good (+7 runs)	3	13.2
Average (0 runs)	2.4	10.6
Poor (-7 runs)	1.9	8.4
Putrid (-15 runs)	1.3	5.7

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	15	30
12 team AL or NL only	5	22	36

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.