Baseball Projection.com

German Duran

Age: 24 Team: TEX

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
117	397	58	102	22	3	9	52	7	3	24	83	3	0.257	0.304	0.395	-17	OF	5.2

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-2	0	16	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0.188	0.235	0.250
20th	-8	0	114	26	5	1	2	5	26	0	0.228	0.261	0.342
30th	-11	0	208	49	10	1	4	11	46	1	0.236	0.277	0.351
40th	-12	0	303	74	16	2	6	17	65	2	0.244	0.289	0.370
50th	-11	3	397	102	22	3	9	24	83	3	0.257	0.304	0.395
60th	-6	9	428	114	25	4	11	27	87	3	0.266	0.314	0.421
70th	0	16	458	127	29	5	13	31	90	4	0.277	0.329	0.448
80th	7	24	487	140	33	6	15	35	92	5	0.287	0.342	0.472
90th	15	33	517	154	37	8	18	39	95	6	0.298	0.354	0.505

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	24	396	102	22	3	9	7	3	25	82	3	0.258	0.307	0.396
2010	25	395	102	22	3	9	7	3	26	80	3	0.258	0.309	0.397
2011	26	394	103	22	3	10	7	3	27	78	3	0.261	0.314	0.409
2012	27	394	103	23	3	10	6	3	27	77	3	0.261	0.314	0.411
2013	28	393	101	22	3	10	6	2	28	77	3	0.257	0.311	0.405
2014	29	392	99	22	2	10	6	2	29	77	3	0.253	0.309	0.395

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	-2	-5	-10	3	-5	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	1.3	5.7
Good (+7 runs)	0.9	4
Average (0 runs)	0.6	2.6
Poor (-7 runs)	0.4	1.8
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.2	0.9

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	17

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.