Lucas French
Age: 23
Team: DET
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 5 |
7 |
109 |
131 |
20 |
52 |
47 |
4 |
78 |
72 |
5.94 |
18 |
18 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
81 |
115 |
48 |
31 |
21 |
5 |
8.11 |
| 20th |
88 |
119 |
49 |
35 |
21 |
5 |
7.47 |
| 30th |
95 |
122 |
50 |
39 |
20 |
4 |
6.73 |
| 40th |
102 |
127 |
51 |
43 |
20 |
4 |
6.35 |
| 50th |
109 |
131 |
52 |
47 |
20 |
4 |
5.94 |
| 60th |
112 |
130 |
51 |
49 |
19 |
4 |
5.54 |
| 70th |
115 |
130 |
50 |
52 |
18 |
3 |
5.32 |
| 80th |
119 |
128 |
49 |
55 |
16 |
2 |
4.76 |
| 90th |
123 |
125 |
47 |
59 |
14 |
2 |
4.24 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 3 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
23 |
108 |
133 |
53 |
51 |
21 |
4 |
6.24 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
24 |
97 |
120 |
47 |
47 |
19 |
4 |
6.27 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
25 |
88 |
107 |
41 |
43 |
17 |
4 |
6.10 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
26 |
79 |
97 |
36 |
38 |
15 |
3 |
6.08 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
27 |
71 |
88 |
32 |
34 |
14 |
3 |
6.19 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
28 |
64 |
80 |
28 |
30 |
13 |
3 |
6.26 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.