Baseball Projection.com

Armando Galarraga

Age: 27 Team: DET

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
8	7	135	133	18	50	95	5	69	64	4.27	24	24

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	103	114	45	69	18	6	5.33
20th	111	119	46	76	18	5	5.03
30th	119	124	47	82	18	5	4.76
40th	127	128	49	88	18	5	4.46
50th	135	133	50	95	18	5	4.27
60th	138	132	50	98	17	5	4.04
70th	142	132	49	102	16	4	3.74
80th	146	131	48	106	15	4	3.51
90th	150	130	46	111	14	3	3.30

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

19 1.8 8.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 27 134 134 51 104 19 5 4.41 1.0 1.7 7.5

2010 28 121 121 45 93 17 4 4.37 1.0 1.6 7.8

2011 29 109 110 40 82 15 4 4.39 1.0 1.4 7.6

2012 30 98 99 36 73 14 4 4.44 1.0 1.2 7.3

2013 31 88 89 33 65 12 3 4.40 1.0 1.1 7.4

2014 32 79 80 31 57 11 3 4.49 1.0 0.9 6.7

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
19	1.8	8.3

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	27	134	134	51	104	19	5	4.41	1.0	1.7	7.5
2010	28	121	121	45	93	17	4	4.37	1.0	1.6	7.8
2011	29	109	110	40	82	15	4	4.39	1.0	1.4	7.6
2012	30	98	99	36	73	14	4	4.44	1.0	1.2	7.3
2013	31	88	89	33	65	12	3	4.40	1.0	1.1	7.4
2014	32	79	80	31	57	11	3	4.49	1.0	0.9	6.7

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.