Baseball Projection.com

Mat Gamel

Age: 23 Team: MIL

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
126	492	67	129	28	5	12	68	8	4	46	123	2	0.262	0.328	0.413	-10	3B	5.2

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-2	0	20	4	1	0	0	2	6	0	0.200	0.273	0.250
20th	-8	0	140	32	6	1	2	11	38	0	0.229	0.285	0.329
30th	-12	0	258	62	13	2	5	22	68	1	0.240	0.302	0.364
40th	-13	0	376	94	20	3	8	33	97	1	0.250	0.312	0.383
50th	-8	9	492	129	28	5	12	46	123	2	0.262	0.328	0.413
60th	-2	16	517	140	31	6	14	51	126	3	0.271	0.340	0.435
70th	5	24	544	153	35	7	16	56	129	3	0.281	0.352	0.460
80th	14	34	569	166	39	9	18	61	131	4	0.292	0.364	0.487
90th	23	44	594	179	43	10	21	67	133	5	0.301	0.377	0.513

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	23	496	131	28	5	11	8	4	42	121	2	0.264	0.324	0.407
2010	24	494	134	30	5	12	8	4	44	116	2	0.271	0.333	0.425
2011	25	492	134	31	4	12	8	4	46	113	2	0.272	0.337	0.425
2012	26	491	135	31	4	12	8	4	47	110	2	0.275	0.341	0.428
2013	27	489	134	31	4	13	7	3	49	109	2	0.274	0.343	0.434
2014	28	488	133	31	4	13	7	3	50	109	2	0.273	0.343	0.432

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	--	-18	--	--	--	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	2.6	11.4
Good (+7 runs)	2.1	9.2
Average (0 runs)	1.6	7
Poor (-7 runs)	1.2	5.3
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.8	3.5

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	19
12 team AL or NL only	1	6	25

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.