Baseball Projection.com

Ramon Garcia

Age: 24 Team: DET
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 2 34 37 5 16 19 1 21 19 5.03 30 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 24 34 16 12 6 2 8.25
20th 27 35 16 14 6 1 7.00
30th 29 36 16 15 6 1 6.52
40th 32 36 16 17 5 1 5.34
50th 34 37 16 19 5 1 5.03
60th 35 37 15 20 5 1 4.89
70th 36 36 15 21 4 1 4.50
80th 38 34 14 23 3 0 3.32
90th 40 33 13 25 2 0 2.70

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 34 37 16 21 5 1 5.11 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 25 30 34 14 19 5 1 5.47 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 26 27 30 13 17 4 1 5.29 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 27 25 28 11 15 4 1 5.31 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 28 22 25 10 13 3 1 5.29 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 29 20 22 9 12 3 1 5.20 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.