Baseball Projection.com

J.J. Hardy

Age: 26 Team: MIL

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
133	492	70	137	27	2	20	67	2	1	47	71	1	0.278	0.343	0.463	4	SS	3.3

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	0	1	20	5	1	0	1	2	3	0	0.250	0.318	0.450
20th	-4	1	139	36	6	0	5	12	22	0	0.259	0.318	0.410
30th	-3	6	258	68	13	1	9	23	39	0	0.264	0.324	0.426
40th	-1	12	375	101	20	1	14	34	56	1	0.269	0.332	0.440
50th	3	20	492	137	27	2	20	47	71	1	0.278	0.343	0.463
60th	8	26	510	146	30	3	22	50	71	2	0.286	0.352	0.486
70th	15	34	528	155	33	3	24	54	72	2	0.294	0.361	0.504
80th	21	40	546	165	36	4	26	58	72	2	0.302	0.371	0.526
90th	27	47	563	174	38	4	28	62	72	3	0.309	0.381	0.540

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	26	496	139	28	2	19	2	1	43	70	1	0.280	0.339	0.460
2010	27	495	138	28	2	19	2	1	44	69	1	0.279	0.339	0.459
2011	28	494	136	27	2	19	2	1	45	69	1	0.275	0.337	0.453
2012	29	493	134	27	2	19	2	1	46	70	1	0.272	0.335	0.450
2013	30	468	127	25	2	18	2	1	44	66	1	0.271	0.335	0.449
2014	31	443	119	23	1	17	2	1	43	63	1	0.269	0.335	0.440

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	--	--	6	--	--	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	3.5	15.4
Good (+7 runs)	3	13.2
Average (0 runs)	2.5	11
Poor (-7 runs)	2.1	9.2
Putrid (-15 runs)	1.5	6.6

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	4	19
12 team AL or NL only	1	11	26

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.