Orlando Hernandez
Age: 39
Team: RET
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
4 |
74 |
70 |
10 |
32 |
66 |
4 |
38 |
35 |
4.26 |
14 |
14 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
55 |
62 |
30 |
46 |
11 |
5 |
6.05 |
| 20th |
60 |
64 |
30 |
51 |
11 |
5 |
5.55 |
| 30th |
65 |
66 |
31 |
56 |
10 |
4 |
4.85 |
| 40th |
70 |
68 |
31 |
61 |
10 |
4 |
4.50 |
| 50th |
74 |
70 |
32 |
66 |
10 |
4 |
4.26 |
| 60th |
76 |
69 |
31 |
69 |
9 |
4 |
3.91 |
| 70th |
78 |
69 |
31 |
71 |
9 |
3 |
3.69 |
| 80th |
81 |
67 |
30 |
75 |
8 |
3 |
3.33 |
| 90th |
84 |
66 |
28 |
79 |
7 |
2 |
2.89 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 12 |
1.1 |
5.2 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
39 |
74 |
70 |
32 |
66 |
10 |
4 |
4.30 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
4.6 |
| 2010 |
40 |
66 |
64 |
29 |
58 |
9 |
3 |
4.42 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
4.1 |
| 2011 |
41 |
59 |
58 |
27 |
50 |
9 |
3 |
4.66 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
3.0 |
| 2012 |
42 |
53 |
52 |
25 |
44 |
8 |
3 |
4.69 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.8 |
| 2013 |
43 |
47 |
47 |
23 |
38 |
7 |
3 |
4.84 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.5 |
| 2014 |
44 |
42 |
44 |
21 |
33 |
7 |
2 |
5.18 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.