Baseball Projection.com

Luke Hughes

Age: 24 Team: MIN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
99	378	48	92	18	2	8	45	4	1	25	105	2	0.243	0.294	0.365	-17	3B	5.3

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-25	0	309	64	11	1	4	15	94	0	0.207	0.244	0.288
20th	-22	0	326	70	12	1	5	17	97	1	0.215	0.256	0.304
30th	-20	0	344	77	14	1	6	20	100	1	0.224	0.268	0.323
40th	-15	0	361	85	16	2	7	22	103	2	0.235	0.283	0.349
50th	-11	2	378	92	18	2	8	25	105	2	0.243	0.294	0.365
60th	-7	8	429	109	23	3	11	30	116	3	0.254	0.307	0.399
70th	-1	16	481	127	27	4	13	35	127	4	0.264	0.319	0.418
80th	6	24	531	146	32	5	16	41	137	5	0.275	0.333	0.444
90th	14	34	580	165	38	7	19	48	145	6	0.284	0.345	0.472

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	24	376	95	19	2	10	4	1	27	101	2	0.253	0.306	0.394
2010	25	375	96	19	2	10	4	1	28	98	2	0.256	0.311	0.397
2011	26	374	96	20	2	10	4	1	29	95	2	0.257	0.314	0.401
2012	27	373	96	20	2	10	4	1	30	95	2	0.257	0.316	0.402
2013	28	373	94	19	2	10	4	1	30	95	2	0.252	0.311	0.394
2014	29	372	93	19	2	10	4	1	31	95	2	0.250	0.311	0.392

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	-1	-10	-9	-15	2	-6	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	1.9	8.4
Good (+7 runs)	1.4	6.2
Average (0 runs)	1.1	4.8
Poor (-7 runs)	0.8	3.5
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.5	2.2

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	5
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	13

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.