Baseball Projection.com

Edwin Jackson

Age: 25 Team: DET

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
8	8	145	158	16	63	94	4	83	77	4.78	29	29

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	111	135	56	68	17	5	5.92
20th	120	141	57	75	16	4	5.48
30th	128	146	59	81	16	4	5.20
40th	137	152	61	88	16	4	4.93
50th	145	158	63	94	16	4	4.78
60th	148	158	63	97	15	4	4.56
70th	152	159	62	101	15	3	4.38
80th	156	157	61	105	13	3	3.98
90th	161	156	60	109	12	2	3.75

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

13 1.2 5.7

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 25 144 159 64 103 17 4 4.89 1.0 1.0 4.6

2010 26 130 144 57 92 15 3 4.86 1.0 1.1 5.1

2011 27 117 130 50 82 14 3 4.89 1.0 0.9 4.6

2012 28 105 118 44 73 12 3 4.90 1.0 0.8 4.5

2013 29 95 107 39 65 11 2 4.87 1.0 0.8 4.9

2014 30 85 96 36 58 10 2 4.95 1.0 0.6 4.0

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
13	1.2	5.7

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	25	144	159	64	103	17	4	4.89	1.0	1.0	4.6
2010	26	130	144	57	92	15	3	4.86	1.0	1.1	5.1
2011	27	117	130	50	82	14	3	4.89	1.0	0.9	4.6
2012	28	105	118	44	73	12	3	4.90	1.0	0.8	4.5
2013	29	95	107	39	65	11	2	4.87	1.0	0.8	4.9
2014	30	85	96	36	58	10	2	4.95	1.0	0.6	4.0

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.