Baseball Projection.com

Jonathan Jay

Age: 24 Team: SLN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
112	444	61	122	22	4	7	54	11	5	37	74	3	0.275	0.335	0.390	-11	OF	5.7

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-2	0	18	4	1	0	0	1	3	0	0.222	0.263	0.278
20th	-9	0	127	31	5	1	1	9	24	0	0.244	0.294	0.323
30th	-11	0	234	59	10	1	3	17	42	1	0.252	0.306	0.342
40th	-11	1	339	90	16	2	5	27	59	2	0.265	0.323	0.369
50th	-9	6	444	122	22	4	7	37	74	3	0.275	0.335	0.390
60th	-2	15	482	138	26	5	9	43	77	5	0.286	0.351	0.417
70th	6	24	522	156	31	6	11	49	80	6	0.299	0.366	0.444
80th	15	35	560	173	35	8	13	56	82	7	0.309	0.379	0.470
90th	25	46	598	192	41	9	16	63	84	9	0.321	0.394	0.500

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	24	445	121	23	4	7	11	5	36	77	3	0.272	0.331	0.389
2010	25	444	121	24	3	7	10	5	37	75	3	0.273	0.333	0.387
2011	26	443	122	24	3	8	10	4	38	73	3	0.275	0.337	0.397
2012	27	442	121	24	3	8	10	4	39	72	3	0.274	0.337	0.396
2013	28	441	120	24	3	8	9	4	40	72	3	0.272	0.337	0.395
2014	29	440	117	23	3	8	9	4	41	73	3	0.266	0.333	0.386

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	-4	--	--	10	4	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	1.9	8.4
Good (+7 runs)	1.4	6.2
Average (0 runs)	1.1	4.8
Poor (-7 runs)	0.8	3.5
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.5	2.2

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	18
12 team AL or NL only	1	4	28

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.