Andrew Kown
Age: 26
Team: DET
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 5 |
7 |
106 |
120 |
19 |
46 |
47 |
3 |
69 |
64 |
5.43 |
20 |
20 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
80 |
105 |
42 |
32 |
20 |
4 |
7.20 |
| 20th |
86 |
109 |
43 |
36 |
20 |
4 |
6.80 |
| 30th |
93 |
112 |
44 |
40 |
19 |
3 |
6.10 |
| 40th |
100 |
116 |
45 |
43 |
19 |
3 |
5.76 |
| 50th |
106 |
120 |
46 |
47 |
19 |
3 |
5.43 |
| 60th |
109 |
119 |
45 |
49 |
18 |
3 |
5.12 |
| 70th |
112 |
119 |
45 |
52 |
17 |
2 |
4.82 |
| 80th |
116 |
117 |
43 |
55 |
16 |
2 |
4.34 |
| 90th |
119 |
115 |
42 |
58 |
14 |
1 |
4.01 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 5 |
0.5 |
2.6 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
26 |
105 |
122 |
47 |
51 |
20 |
3 |
5.70 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
27 |
95 |
110 |
41 |
46 |
18 |
3 |
5.64 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
28 |
85 |
99 |
36 |
41 |
16 |
3 |
5.65 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
29 |
77 |
90 |
32 |
37 |
15 |
2 |
5.66 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
30 |
69 |
81 |
30 |
32 |
13 |
2 |
5.71 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
31 |
62 |
73 |
27 |
29 |
12 |
2 |
5.78 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.