Chris Lambert
Age: 26
Team: DET
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 7 |
7 |
125 |
134 |
18 |
51 |
83 |
4 |
73 |
68 |
4.9 |
25 |
25 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
95 |
116 |
46 |
59 |
19 |
5 |
6.25 |
| 20th |
103 |
120 |
47 |
65 |
18 |
5 |
5.77 |
| 30th |
111 |
125 |
48 |
72 |
18 |
4 |
5.35 |
| 40th |
118 |
129 |
50 |
77 |
18 |
4 |
5.11 |
| 50th |
125 |
134 |
51 |
83 |
18 |
4 |
4.90 |
| 60th |
128 |
134 |
50 |
86 |
17 |
4 |
4.64 |
| 70th |
132 |
133 |
50 |
89 |
16 |
3 |
4.30 |
| 80th |
135 |
132 |
49 |
93 |
15 |
3 |
4.00 |
| 90th |
140 |
130 |
47 |
98 |
13 |
2 |
3.60 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 11 |
1.0 |
4.8 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
26 |
125 |
135 |
52 |
91 |
19 |
4 |
4.96 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
3.8 |
| 2010 |
27 |
112 |
122 |
46 |
81 |
17 |
4 |
5.00 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
3.2 |
| 2011 |
28 |
101 |
110 |
40 |
72 |
15 |
4 |
4.95 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
3.5 |
| 2012 |
29 |
91 |
100 |
36 |
64 |
14 |
3 |
5.01 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
3.3 |
| 2013 |
30 |
82 |
90 |
33 |
57 |
13 |
3 |
5.07 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
3.1 |
| 2014 |
31 |
73 |
81 |
30 |
50 |
11 |
3 |
5.11 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.7 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.