Baseball Projection.com

Alejandro Machado

Age: 27 Team: MIN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
117	388	53	107	23	3	4	43	14	5	33	55	2	0.276	0.336	0.381	-7	2B	5.7

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-1	0	16	4	1	0	0	1	3	0	0.250	0.294	0.313
20th	-6	0	110	26	5	0	0	8	18	0	0.236	0.288	0.282
30th	-9	0	204	52	10	1	1	15	31	1	0.255	0.309	0.328
40th	-7	3	296	78	16	2	2	24	44	1	0.264	0.321	0.351
50th	-5	9	388	107	23	3	4	33	55	2	0.276	0.336	0.381
60th	0	15	418	120	26	4	5	37	57	3	0.287	0.349	0.404
70th	6	22	447	133	30	5	6	42	58	3	0.298	0.362	0.427
80th	13	30	475	146	35	6	7	48	59	4	0.307	0.376	0.451
90th	22	40	504	160	39	7	8	53	59	5	0.317	0.388	0.470

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	27	385	108	23	3	4	14	5	36	53	2	0.281	0.345	0.387
2010	28	384	107	23	3	4	14	5	37	53	2	0.279	0.345	0.385
2011	29	384	105	22	2	4	13	4	37	53	2	0.273	0.340	0.372
2012	30	364	100	21	2	4	12	4	36	50	2	0.275	0.343	0.376
2013	31	345	94	20	2	4	10	3	35	48	2	0.272	0.343	0.377
2014	32	327	87	18	2	3	9	3	34	46	2	0.266	0.339	0.361

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	-7	--	-12	2	-6	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	2.3	10.1
Good (+7 runs)	1.8	7.9
Average (0 runs)	1.5	6.6
Poor (-7 runs)	1.1	4.8
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.8	3.5

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	11
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	18

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.