Baseball Projection.com

Anastacio Martinez

Age: 30 Team: DET
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 3 56 56 6 29 40 3 31 29 4.66 50 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 42 49 26 28 7 3 6.21
20th 46 50 27 31 6 3 5.48
30th 49 52 27 34 6 3 5.14
40th 52 54 28 37 6 3 5.02
50th 56 56 29 40 6 3 4.66
60th 57 56 29 42 6 3 4.42
70th 59 55 28 43 5 3 3.97
80th 60 55 28 45 5 2 3.90
90th 62 54 27 48 4 2 3.34

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
2 0.2 1.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 30 56 56 29 44 6 3 4.57 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 31 50 51 27 39 6 3 4.84 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 32 45 46 25 34 5 2 4.79 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 33 40 42 23 30 5 2 5.10 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 34 36 37 21 27 4 2 4.92 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 35 32 34 19 23 4 2 5.25 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.