Baseball Projection.com

Justin Morneau

Age: 28 Team: MIN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
149	556	83	158	33	3	26	108	2	1	62	85	3	0.284	0.359	0.495	25	1B	3

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	2	17	439	113	21	1	17	43	73	1	0.257	0.325	0.426
20th	6	23	468	124	24	1	19	47	76	2	0.265	0.335	0.442
30th	12	30	498	135	27	2	21	52	79	2	0.271	0.342	0.460
40th	17	36	526	146	30	2	24	57	82	3	0.278	0.352	0.479
50th	24	44	556	158	33	3	26	62	85	3	0.284	0.359	0.495
60th	30	50	561	163	35	3	28	65	83	4	0.291	0.368	0.513
70th	35	55	568	170	37	3	30	68	82	4	0.299	0.378	0.533
80th	41	62	574	175	39	4	31	70	81	5	0.305	0.385	0.549
90th	49	70	580	181	41	4	33	73	80	5	0.312	0.394	0.567

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	28	550	161	33	3	29	2	1	68	81	3	0.293	0.374	0.522
2010	29	549	159	33	2	29	2	1	69	81	3	0.290	0.372	0.515
2011	30	520	150	31	2	27	2	1	67	77	3	0.288	0.373	0.512
2012	31	493	141	29	2	26	1	1	65	73	3	0.286	0.373	0.511
2013	32	467	132	26	2	24	1	1	63	70	3	0.283	0.371	0.501
2014	33	443	124	24	1	23	1	1	60	67	3	0.280	0.370	0.494

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	1	--	--	--	--	--	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	4.7	20.7
Good (+7 runs)	3.9	17.2
Average (0 runs)	3.3	14.5
Poor (-7 runs)	2.6	11.4
Putrid (-15 runs)	1.9	8.4

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	2	18	31
12 team AL or NL only	8	25	38

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.