Baseball Projection.com

Brad Nelson

Age: 26 Team: MIL

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
131	437	65	111	26	1	13	63	9	5	62	98	2	0.254	0.349	0.407	-3	1B	4.2

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-12	0	236	52	11	0	5	29	58	0	0.220	0.306	0.331
20th	-11	0	288	66	14	1	7	36	69	0	0.229	0.315	0.358
30th	-9	3	338	81	18	1	9	44	79	1	0.240	0.329	0.379
40th	-6	8	388	96	22	1	11	53	89	1	0.247	0.339	0.394
50th	-2	14	437	111	26	1	13	62	98	2	0.254	0.349	0.407
60th	3	20	456	119	29	2	15	66	100	2	0.261	0.357	0.432
70th	8	26	474	128	31	2	17	71	101	2	0.270	0.367	0.451
80th	14	32	491	136	35	3	18	76	103	3	0.277	0.377	0.470
90th	21	40	508	145	38	3	20	82	103	3	0.285	0.388	0.490

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	26	443	114	27	1	13	9	5	56	97	2	0.257	0.343	0.411
2010	27	441	113	26	1	13	8	5	58	96	2	0.256	0.345	0.408
2011	28	440	111	26	1	13	8	4	59	96	2	0.252	0.343	0.405
2012	29	439	109	25	1	13	8	4	60	96	2	0.248	0.341	0.399
2013	30	416	103	24	1	12	7	4	59	91	1	0.248	0.342	0.397
2014	31	394	97	22	1	11	6	3	57	86	1	0.246	0.343	0.391

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	-2	--	-6	--	0	-8	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	1.9	8.4
Good (+7 runs)	1.4	6.2
Average (0 runs)	1	4.4
Poor (-7 runs)	0.6	2.6
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.3	1.3

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	9
12 team AL or NL only	1	4	18

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.