Baseball Projection.com

Edward Ovalle

Age: 24 Team: MIN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
123	453	43	94	16	5	5	45	8	4	22	144	4	0.208	0.251	0.298	-45	OF	5

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-3	0	18	3	0	0	0	1	6	0	0.167	0.211	0.167
20th	-15	0	128	23	3	1	1	5	44	1	0.180	0.216	0.242
30th	-25	0	238	44	7	2	2	10	80	1	0.185	0.221	0.256
40th	-31	0	346	68	11	3	3	15	113	3	0.197	0.236	0.272
50th	-34	0	453	94	16	5	5	22	144	4	0.208	0.251	0.298
60th	-30	0	480	105	18	6	7	25	148	5	0.219	0.265	0.325
70th	-24	0	507	116	21	8	8	29	153	6	0.229	0.279	0.349
80th	-17	1	533	128	24	10	10	32	156	8	0.240	0.293	0.379
90th	-10	9	560	140	27	12	11	36	159	9	0.250	0.306	0.400

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	24	451	97	16	5	6	9	4	24	139	4	0.215	0.261	0.313
2010	25	450	98	17	5	6	9	4	25	135	4	0.218	0.265	0.318
2011	26	449	98	17	5	6	8	4	26	131	4	0.218	0.267	0.318
2012	27	449	99	18	4	7	8	3	26	130	4	0.220	0.269	0.325
2013	28	448	97	18	4	6	8	3	27	130	4	0.217	0.267	0.315
2014	29	447	95	17	4	6	7	3	28	131	4	0.213	0.265	0.309

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	--	--	--	7	0	-8

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	0.3	1.3
Good (+7 runs)	0.1	0.4
Average (0 runs)	0	0.4
Poor (-7 runs)	0	0.4
Putrid (-15 runs)	0	0.4

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	1

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.