Baseball Projection.com

Matt Pagnozzi

Age: 26 Team: SLN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
77	244	20	50	11	1	2	20	2	1	16	65	2	0.205	0.260	0.283	-53	C	2.7

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-30	0	201	32	5	0	0	9	61	0	0.159	0.195	0.184
20th	-27	0	211	37	7	0	1	11	62	1	0.175	0.220	0.223
30th	-27	0	223	41	8	0	1	12	63	1	0.184	0.229	0.233
40th	-26	0	233	46	9	0	2	14	64	2	0.197	0.249	0.262
50th	-22	0	244	50	11	1	2	16	65	2	0.205	0.260	0.283
60th	-24	0	304	66	15	1	4	21	79	3	0.217	0.274	0.313
70th	-24	0	363	83	20	2	5	27	91	5	0.229	0.291	0.336
80th	-20	0	421	101	26	2	7	34	102	6	0.240	0.306	0.361
90th	-15	2	478	120	32	3	9	41	112	8	0.251	0.321	0.387

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	26	245	49	11	1	2	2	1	15	68	2	0.200	0.252	0.278
2010	27	244	49	11	1	2	2	1	16	67	2	0.201	0.256	0.279
2011	28	244	48	11	1	2	2	1	16	67	2	0.197	0.252	0.275
2012	29	243	47	11	1	2	1	1	17	68	2	0.193	0.252	0.272
2013	30	231	45	10	0	2	1	0	16	64	2	0.195	0.253	0.264
2014	31	219	42	9	0	2	1	0	16	61	2	0.192	0.253	0.260

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	-1	--	--	--	-3	-12	-11

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	0.4	1.8
Good (+7 runs)	0.2	0.9
Average (0 runs)	0.1	0.4
Poor (-7 runs)	0	0.4
Putrid (-15 runs)	0	0.4

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	1

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.