Josh Rainwater
Age: 24
Team: DET
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
6 |
89 |
102 |
15 |
53 |
43 |
5 |
64 |
59 |
5.97 |
19 |
19 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
66 |
89 |
48 |
29 |
16 |
6 |
8.18 |
| 20th |
72 |
93 |
49 |
32 |
16 |
6 |
7.50 |
| 30th |
78 |
95 |
50 |
36 |
15 |
5 |
6.69 |
| 40th |
84 |
99 |
52 |
39 |
15 |
5 |
6.32 |
| 50th |
89 |
102 |
53 |
43 |
15 |
5 |
5.97 |
| 60th |
92 |
101 |
52 |
45 |
14 |
5 |
5.48 |
| 70th |
95 |
101 |
52 |
47 |
13 |
4 |
5.21 |
| 80th |
98 |
99 |
50 |
50 |
12 |
4 |
4.68 |
| 90th |
102 |
97 |
49 |
53 |
10 |
3 |
4.15 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
24 |
88 |
104 |
54 |
47 |
16 |
5 |
6.34 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
25 |
80 |
93 |
48 |
42 |
14 |
5 |
6.17 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
26 |
72 |
84 |
42 |
38 |
13 |
4 |
6.15 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
27 |
65 |
76 |
37 |
34 |
12 |
4 |
6.17 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
28 |
59 |
69 |
33 |
30 |
11 |
3 |
6.12 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
29 |
53 |
62 |
29 |
27 |
9 |
3 |
5.99 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.