Baseball Projection.com

Luis Rivera

Age: 25 Team: NYN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
65	203	20	48	9	1	1	18	2	1	9	34	1	0.236	0.272	0.305	-41	2B	4.6

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-9	0	75	15	2	0	0	2	15	0	0.200	0.221	0.227
20th	-12	0	107	22	3	0	0	4	20	0	0.206	0.234	0.234
30th	-14	0	140	30	5	0	0	5	25	0	0.214	0.241	0.250
40th	-13	0	171	39	7	1	1	7	30	1	0.228	0.263	0.298
50th	-14	0	203	48	9	1	1	9	34	1	0.236	0.272	0.305
60th	-14	0	272	68	13	2	2	13	43	2	0.250	0.289	0.335
70th	-14	0	339	88	18	3	3	18	52	3	0.260	0.303	0.357
80th	-11	3	407	110	24	4	4	23	59	4	0.270	0.316	0.378
90th	-7	9	473	134	30	6	6	29	65	6	0.283	0.333	0.410

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	25	203	49	9	1	1	2	1	9	34	1	0.241	0.277	0.310
2010	26	203	49	9	1	1	2	1	9	33	1	0.241	0.277	0.310
2011	27	203	49	9	1	1	2	1	9	33	1	0.241	0.277	0.310
2012	28	203	48	9	1	1	2	1	9	33	1	0.236	0.272	0.305
2013	29	202	47	9	1	1	2	1	10	33	1	0.233	0.272	0.302
2014	30	192	45	9	1	1	2	1	9	31	1	0.234	0.272	0.307

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	-1	-5	0	-2	1	-7	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	0.6	2.6
Good (+7 runs)	0.3	1.3
Average (0 runs)	0.2	0.9
Poor (-7 runs)	0.1	0.4
Putrid (-15 runs)	0	0.4

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	1

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.