Baseball Projection.com

Mike Rivera

Age: 32 Team: MIL

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
107	357	42	86	17	1	16	62	4	2	26	73	3	0.241	0.298	0.429	-15	C	3

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-1	0	15	3	1	0	0	1	3	0	0.200	0.250	0.267
20th	-8	0	103	21	4	0	3	6	23	0	0.204	0.248	0.330
30th	-10	0	188	41	7	0	7	12	41	1	0.218	0.269	0.367
40th	-12	0	273	63	12	0	11	19	58	2	0.231	0.286	0.396
50th	-9	3	357	86	17	1	16	26	73	3	0.241	0.298	0.429
60th	-5	9	395	99	20	1	19	30	79	4	0.251	0.310	0.451
70th	2	17	433	114	24	1	23	35	83	5	0.263	0.326	0.483
80th	9	26	469	128	29	1	26	40	87	7	0.273	0.339	0.505
90th	19	37	505	144	33	2	30	46	91	8	0.285	0.354	0.537

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	32	359	87	17	1	15	4	2	24	72	3	0.242	0.295	0.421
2010	33	341	81	16	0	14	4	2	23	70	3	0.238	0.292	0.408
2011	34	324	75	14	0	13	3	1	22	68	3	0.231	0.287	0.395
2012	35	308	70	13	0	12	2	1	21	65	3	0.227	0.283	0.386
2013	36	292	65	12	0	11	2	1	20	62	3	0.223	0.279	0.377
2014	37	277	60	11	0	10	2	1	19	59	3	0.217	0.274	0.365

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	2	--	0	--	--	--	-11

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	2.2	9.7
Good (+7 runs)	1.8	7.9
Average (0 runs)	1.4	6.2
Poor (-7 runs)	1.1	4.8
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.8	3.5

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	21
12 team AL or NL only	1	5	26

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.