Baseball Projection.com

Nate Robertson

Age: 31 Team: DET

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
10	9	171	184	21	61	107	4	93	86	4.53	28	28

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	131	157	54	78	21	5	5.56
20th	141	164	56	85	21	4	5.23
30th	152	170	57	93	21	4	4.91
40th	161	177	59	100	21	4	4.70
50th	171	184	61	107	21	4	4.53
60th	175	184	61	111	20	4	4.32
70th	179	184	60	114	19	3	4.07
80th	184	183	59	119	18	3	3.86
90th	189	181	57	124	16	2	3.52

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

18 1.7 7.9

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 31 170 186 62 117 22 4 4.68 1.0 1.7 7.5

2010 32 152 168 57 103 20 4 4.79 1.0 1.3 6.5

2011 33 137 152 52 91 18 3 4.81 1.0 1.1 6.1

2012 34 122 137 48 80 16 3 4.92 1.0 0.9 5.0

2013 35 110 123 44 71 15 3 4.96 1.0 0.8 4.9

2014 36 99 111 40 62 13 2 4.93 1.0 0.7 4.7

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
18	1.7	7.9

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	31	170	186	62	117	22	4	4.68	1.0	1.7	7.5
2010	32	152	168	57	103	20	4	4.79	1.0	1.3	6.5
2011	33	137	152	52	91	18	3	4.81	1.0	1.1	6.1
2012	34	122	137	48	80	16	3	4.92	1.0	0.9	5.0
2013	35	110	123	44	71	15	3	4.96	1.0	0.8	4.9
2014	36	99	111	40	62	13	2	4.93	1.0	0.7	4.7

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.