Baseball Projection.com

Fernando Rodney

Age: 32 Team: DET
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
4 2 54 46 4 30 55 3 24 22 3.67 49 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 40 41 28 38 5 4 5.40
20th 44 43 28 42 5 4 4.91
30th 48 43 29 47 4 3 4.13
40th 51 45 29 51 4 3 3.88
50th 54 46 30 55 4 3 3.67
60th 56 46 29 57 4 3 3.38
70th 58 45 29 60 3 2 2.95
80th 60 44 28 63 3 2 2.70
90th 62 42 27 67 2 1 2.32

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
7 0.7 3.5

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 32 54 46 30 60 4 3 3.67 1.1 0.6 2.7
2010 33 49 41 28 53 4 3 3.71 1.0 0.5 2.4
2011 34 43 37 26 46 3 3 3.83 1.0 0.4 2.0
2012 35 39 34 24 41 3 2 3.92 1.0 0.3 1.7
2013 36 35 31 22 36 3 2 4.10 1.0 0.2 1.2
2014 37 31 27 20 32 2 2 3.93 1.0 0.2 1.3

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.