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I don't think I've done this, at least on my website, since 2010. Here's what I have right now. There are still a few free agents out there who could shake things up, all of them are Scott Boras clients. The big ones are:
Whoever signs one or more of these guys should see a bump in the standings. There are more free agents out there than that, but the others are more likely to fill supporting roles or sign minor league contracts. Some of them might not get another contract, especially among the older ones. Most retirements don't happen with a farewell tour like Derek Jeter and David Ortiz. More often, spring training rolls around and they find themselves with no offers. J.D. Martinez can still hit, but as a DH he's a step below Chapman and Bellinger. As you might suspect given that I've posted these, I'm also a free agent. This is the first year since 2010 that I will not be working for a team. I think I'm retired. At least from working on the inside. I expect to do a lot more on my website this year. American League
Keep in mind there is a ton of variability in this. A team with 81 win talent can easily finish 87-75 or 75-87 just by a few bad hops and bounces. I'm not convinced on many of these. The Rays will probably get some all-star performances out of guys that other teams give up on (though the Rays have no better luck than the rest in keeping these breakout players healthy). The Orioles have so much young talent ready to join an already good team. Angels are projected to win one more game than they did last year with Ohtani? That seems a little optimistic too. National League
Braves are just ridiculously loaded. They aren't just good everywhere, they have an all-star everywhere. If Chris Sale can shake the injury bug this year their upside is even greater. But even if he can only make 10 starts, this team should easily win the division. My projection system is telling me the Cardinals just had a year where everything went wrong, but they still have top line talent. They also made some nice upgrades to the rotation. We'll see. 94 wins seems like a floor for the Dodgers. They won another 100 last year despite having several holes in the rotation and lineup. Now they've brought in a billion dollars worth of Japanese superstars. Plus Teoscar Hernandez and Tyler Glasnow. They look as loaded as they ever have. The National league has two super teams. Good luck to whoever plays them in the first round. As we've seen, super teams can guarantee nothing in a short series. Player Projections: I have no plans on posting those any time soon.
This page was last modified 2/18/2024 |