Baseball Projection.com

Jordan Tata

Age: 27 Team: DET
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
4 4 73 81 10 38 40 4 47 43 5.3 15 15

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 53 73 36 26 12 5 7.98
20th 59 74 36 30 11 5 6.71
30th 63 77 37 33 11 4 6.43
40th 68 79 37 37 10 4 5.69
50th 73 81 38 40 10 4 5.30
60th 75 80 37 42 9 4 5.04
70th 78 79 36 45 8 3 4.38
80th 81 77 35 47 7 3 3.89
90th 85 74 33 51 5 2 3.28

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
5 0.5 2.6

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 27 73 81 39 44 10 4 5.40 1.0 0.1 0.4
2010 28 65 75 34 39 10 3 5.69 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 29 59 67 30 35 9 3 5.56 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 30 53 60 28 31 8 3 5.60 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 31 47 55 25 27 7 2 5.75 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 32 43 49 23 24 6 2 5.55 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.