Baseball Projection.com

Joe Thurston

Age: 29 Team: SLN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
130	484	66	133	27	5	8	53	12	8	35	71	6	0.275	0.331	0.401	-10	2B	6

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-18	0	332	82	15	2	3	20	54	2	0.247	0.294	0.331
20th	-18	0	370	93	17	3	4	24	59	3	0.251	0.302	0.346
30th	-15	0	408	106	21	3	5	27	63	4	0.260	0.312	0.363
40th	-11	4	446	120	24	4	7	31	67	5	0.269	0.324	0.388
50th	-9	8	484	133	27	5	8	35	71	6	0.275	0.331	0.401
60th	-4	14	505	142	29	6	9	39	72	6	0.281	0.340	0.416
70th	1	19	526	152	32	7	10	42	73	7	0.289	0.350	0.433
80th	7	26	547	162	35	8	11	45	73	8	0.296	0.358	0.450
90th	13	33	567	172	38	9	13	49	74	9	0.303	0.368	0.471

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	29	485	132	28	5	8	12	7	34	74	6	0.272	0.328	0.400
2010	30	461	125	26	5	7	11	7	33	70	5	0.271	0.327	0.395
2011	31	437	118	25	4	7	9	6	32	66	5	0.270	0.327	0.394
2012	32	414	111	23	3	7	8	5	31	63	5	0.268	0.327	0.389
2013	33	394	103	21	3	6	7	4	29	61	5	0.261	0.320	0.376
2014	34	375	96	20	3	6	6	4	28	60	4	0.256	0.314	0.373

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	-6	--	-8	6	-1	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	2.5	11
Good (+7 runs)	1.9	8.4
Average (0 runs)	1.4	6.2
Poor (-7 runs)	0.9	4
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.5	2.2

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	12
12 team AL or NL only	1	6	19

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.