Baseball Projection.com

Matt Tolbert

Age: 27 Team: MIN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
114	396	49	101	21	4	4	44	10	3	28	69	2	0.255	0.308	0.359	-16	SS	6.3

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-9	0	127	28	5	1	1	7	25	0	0.220	0.261	0.299
20th	-12	0	196	45	9	1	1	11	37	0	0.230	0.271	0.301
30th	-14	0	263	63	12	2	2	16	49	1	0.240	0.286	0.323
40th	-13	0	330	82	17	3	3	22	59	1	0.248	0.297	0.345
50th	-11	3	396	101	21	4	4	28	69	2	0.255	0.308	0.359
60th	-7	8	429	114	25	5	5	32	72	3	0.266	0.321	0.382
70th	-2	14	463	127	29	6	6	36	75	3	0.274	0.331	0.402
80th	5	22	495	140	32	8	7	41	78	4	0.283	0.343	0.422
90th	11	29	527	155	37	9	9	46	80	5	0.294	0.356	0.450

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	27	394	104	22	4	5	10	3	30	66	2	0.264	0.319	0.378
2010	28	393	102	21	4	5	9	3	31	66	2	0.260	0.317	0.372
2011	29	392	101	21	4	5	9	3	32	66	2	0.258	0.317	0.370
2012	30	372	95	20	3	4	8	3	31	63	2	0.255	0.316	0.358
2013	31	353	89	19	3	4	7	2	30	60	2	0.252	0.314	0.357
2014	32	335	84	18	2	4	6	2	29	57	2	0.251	0.314	0.352

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	-6	-1	-4	6	-1	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	2.1	9.2
Good (+7 runs)	1.6	7
Average (0 runs)	1.3	5.7
Poor (-7 runs)	0.9	4
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.6	2.6

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	4
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	10

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.