Baseball Projection.com

Anthony Tomey

Age: 27 Team: DET
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 2 40 41 6 24 31 1 25 23 5.18 37 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 29 37 23 20 7 2 7.76
20th 32 39 23 23 7 1 7.03
30th 35 39 23 26 6 1 5.91
40th 38 40 24 28 6 1 5.45
50th 40 41 24 31 6 1 5.18
60th 42 41 23 33 6 1 4.71
70th 43 40 23 34 5 1 4.19
80th 45 39 22 36 4 0 3.60
90th 47 37 21 39 3 0 3.06

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 27 40 41 24 34 6 1 5.14 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 28 36 37 22 30 6 1 5.31 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 29 32 34 19 27 5 1 5.38 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 30 29 31 17 24 5 1 5.51 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 31 26 27 16 21 4 1 5.32 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 32 23 25 15 19 4 1 5.83 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.