Baseball Projection.com

Tommy Watkins

Age: 29 Team: MIN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
115	355	45	82	17	1	5	34	8	4	31	71	2	0.231	0.296	0.327	-27	OF	4.9

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-18	0	188	37	7	0	1	13	42	0	0.197	0.249	0.250
20th	-19	0	230	47	9	0	2	17	50	1	0.204	0.262	0.270
30th	-19	0	273	58	11	1	3	21	58	1	0.212	0.271	0.293
40th	-18	0	314	70	14	1	4	26	65	1	0.223	0.284	0.312
50th	-17	0	355	82	17	1	5	31	71	2	0.231	0.296	0.327
60th	-14	0	384	92	20	2	6	35	75	3	0.240	0.308	0.349
70th	-10	5	413	103	24	2	7	40	78	3	0.249	0.320	0.368
80th	-5	11	441	113	27	3	8	45	81	4	0.256	0.331	0.385
90th	1	18	469	125	31	4	10	50	83	5	0.267	0.344	0.414

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	29	352	83	18	1	5	8	4	34	68	2	0.236	0.307	0.335
2010	30	334	79	17	1	5	7	4	33	65	2	0.237	0.309	0.338
2011	31	317	75	16	1	5	6	3	32	62	2	0.237	0.311	0.341
2012	32	300	69	14	1	4	6	3	31	59	2	0.230	0.306	0.323
2013	33	285	65	13	1	4	5	2	29	57	2	0.228	0.304	0.323
2014	34	270	60	12	1	4	4	2	28	55	2	0.222	0.300	0.319

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	0	0	-2	3	-5	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	0.6	2.6
Good (+7 runs)	0.4	1.8
Average (0 runs)	0.2	0.9
Poor (-7 runs)	0.1	0.4
Putrid (-15 runs)	0	0.4

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	1

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.