Baseball Projection.com

Robert Weinhardt

Age: 23 Team: DET
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 2 27 29 5 15 19 1 18 17 5.67 25 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 19 27 15 12 6 2 9.00
20th 21 28 15 14 6 1 8.14
30th 24 27 15 16 5 1 6.38
40th 26 28 15 17 5 1 5.88
50th 27 29 15 19 5 1 5.67
60th 28 29 15 20 5 1 5.46
70th 29 28 14 21 4 1 4.66
80th 31 27 13 23 3 0 3.48
90th 32 26 12 25 3 0 3.09

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 23 27 29 15 21 5 1 5.55 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 24 24 27 13 19 5 1 5.94 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 25 22 23 12 17 4 1 5.38 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 26 20 21 10 16 4 1 5.42 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 27 18 19 9 14 3 1 5.23 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 28 16 17 8 12 3 1 5.43 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.