Joel Zumaya
Age: 24
Team: DET
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
2 |
42 |
36 |
3 |
24 |
40 |
1 |
18 |
17 |
3.64 |
37 |
0 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
31 |
33 |
23 |
27 |
4 |
2 |
5.52 |
| 20th |
34 |
34 |
23 |
30 |
4 |
1 |
5.03 |
| 30th |
37 |
34 |
23 |
34 |
3 |
1 |
4.38 |
| 40th |
40 |
35 |
24 |
37 |
3 |
1 |
3.83 |
| 50th |
42 |
36 |
24 |
40 |
3 |
1 |
3.64 |
| 60th |
44 |
36 |
23 |
42 |
3 |
1 |
3.48 |
| 70th |
45 |
34 |
23 |
44 |
2 |
1 |
2.80 |
| 80th |
47 |
34 |
22 |
47 |
2 |
0 |
2.49 |
| 90th |
49 |
32 |
21 |
49 |
1 |
0 |
2.02 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 6 |
0.6 |
3.0 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
24 |
42 |
36 |
24 |
44 |
3 |
1 |
3.65 |
1.1 |
0.5 |
2.3 |
| 2010 |
25 |
38 |
32 |
22 |
39 |
3 |
1 |
3.67 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
2.0 |
| 2011 |
26 |
34 |
30 |
19 |
35 |
3 |
1 |
3.89 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.5 |
| 2012 |
27 |
31 |
26 |
17 |
31 |
2 |
1 |
3.49 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
2.8 |
| 2013 |
28 |
28 |
24 |
15 |
28 |
2 |
1 |
3.60 |
1.2 |
0.3 |
2.1 |
| 2014 |
29 |
25 |
22 |
13 |
25 |
2 |
1 |
3.75 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.